Ka September, litheko tsa tšepe li bonolo ho phahama le ho thata ho oa

Tlhahlobo ea 'maraka oa tšepe ka August, ho tloha matsatsing a 31, le hoja theko ea tšepe e na le sekhahla se senyenyane nakong eo, empa boholo ba nako ea boemo ba ts'ebetso ea ts'ebetso ea ts'ebetso ea ho theoha, tšepe e kopantsoeng ea theko e tlaase e ile ea oa lintlha tse 89, khoele le terata li ile tsa oa. Lintlha tsa 97 le 88, poleiti e bohareng le e teteaneng, litheko tse chesang tse chesang li theohile ka 103, 132, litheko tse batang li bataletse.62% ea theko ea tšepe e ile ea phahama ka lidolara tse 6 tsa Amerika, index ea theko ea coke e phahamisitse lintlha tse 6, litheko tsa tšepe tse senyehileng li ile tsa theoha ka lintlha tse 48, ho tloha ka karolelano ea theko, litheko tse kopaneng tsa tšepe, poleiti e chesang le e batang e phahamisitse lintlha tse 1, 32 le 113, khoele, terata le poleiti e ile ea oa 47, 44 le lintlha tse 17 ka ho latellana.Thepa e phethiloeng e ne e fokola ho feta kamoo ho neng ho lebelletsoe, 'me mafura a tala a ne a le matla ho feta kamoo ho neng ho lebelletsoe.Leha ho le joalo, tlalehong ea khoeli e fetileng, ho boetse ho boletsoe ka ho hlaka hore ho fihla ha leano la thibelo ea tlhahiso ke motheo oa ho khutlela morao, 'me hoa hlokahala ho thibela likhoebo ho fokotsa tlhahiso.Ha re lebeletse 'maraka oa tšepe ka September, lihlahisoa tsa tšepe li' nile tsa laola tlhahiso, theko ea tšepe e bonolo ho phahama le ho thata ho theoha, 'me mafura a tala a oela habonolo le ho thata ho phahama.

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'Marakeng oa tšepe ka August, ke ntho e sa utloahaleng ho bolela hore ho sa tsotellehe leano la ho laola tlhahiso, ho latela maemo a tloaelehileng a ho fokotseha ha tlhokahalo ea nako ea selemo, lihlahisoa tsa tšepe li ne li ka khetha ho boloka maemo a tlhahiso, empa hape li hanne ho fokotsa tlhahiso, ho fella ka phaellong ea leloala la tšepe e ile ea theoha ho tloha ho 64.94% ho ea ho 51.08%.

Le hoja tlhokomelo ea tlhahiso ea tšepe e imolla khatello ea lichelete tsa lehae ho isa bohōleng bo itseng, e sentse lithahasello tsa indasteri le likhoebo, 'me qetellong e sentse lithahasello tsa naha (ho tloha ho sutumelletsa holimo ho theko ea tšepe e sa utloahaleng).

Re lebeletse 'maraka oa tšepe ka September, litheko tsa tšepe li ntse li e-na le khatello ea sethala, haholo-holo ho:

Ea pele ke khatello ea phepelo, ho tloha ho data ea mokhatlo oa tšepe, karolelano ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea tšepe e qhibilihisitsoeng bohareng le bofelong ba August e ne e le lithane tse limilione tse 2.456, le tlhahiso ea tšepe e qhibilihisitsoeng bekeng ea ho qetela ea khoeli. ha ea ka ea fokotseha, e leng boemong bo batlang bo le holimo, e beha khatello ea phepelo 'marakeng bohareng ba September.

Ea bobeli ke khatello ea tlhokahalo, karolelano ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea thepa ea kaho ka Phato e ka ba lithane tse 145,000, motse-moholo oa meaho, thekiso ea matlo le meaho e mecha e ntse e na le ts'epo mabapi le tokollo ea tlhokahalo ka Loetse, leha tlhoko ea nako e tla ba le tokollo e itseng, empa lebelo la kakaretso le ntse le sa lekana, khatello e ntse e le teng.Mabapi le diyantle, phapang ya ditheko pakeng tsa lehae le kantle e fokotsehile le ho feta, mme tlhokeho ya mose ho mawatle e theohile, e leng seo hape se tla lebisa ho theolelontle e sa tobang le e otlolohileng ya dihlahiswa tsa tshepe ho theoha le ho feta.

Ho phaella moo, peterole ea pele e tla bula sethala sa molao sa ho theoha ka September, 'me theko ea tšepe e ka' na ea theha sekhahla se itseng.

Ka September, esita le haeba theko ea tšepe e oa, sebaka se batla se lekanyelitsoe, pele, leloala la tšepe la hona joale le boetse le le halofo ea phaello ea lik'hamphani, 'me le haeba ho na le phaello, ha e na thuso, tšepe e ile ea oa 50 ho 100 yuan / tonne, lihlahisoa tsa tšepe tse ruisang molemo, li ka 'na tsa khutlela ho hoo e ka bang 30%, ka nako eo, ha ho hlokahale ho fokotsa tlhahiso, lihlahisoa tsa tšepe li tla boela li fokotse tlhahiso ka mafolofolo, li etsa phepelo le tlhokahalo e leka-lekaneng,' me theko e lokisoe.

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Ha re shebile pele 'maraka oa tšepe ka Loetse, lintlha tse ka sehloohong tse etsang hore ho be bonolo hore litheko tsa tšepe li khutlele hape:

Taba ea pele, maikutlo a macro a lokisoe.Ela hloko index ea phallo e kholo ea Guosen Securities bekeng ea Phato 25, e tsoileng matsoho libeke tse peli tse latellanang, e bonts'a hore kholo ea moruo e matlafalitsoe, haholo kamora maemo a nako ea selemo, mme e ntse e phahama, e leng betere ho feta boemo ba nalane ea nalane. , mme e bonts'a hore ntlafatso ea moruo e ntle.Ka la 29 Phato, karolo ea bohlano ea Komiti e emang ea Lekhotla la Sechaba la Bo14 e ile ea hlahloba Tlaleho ea Lekhotla la Naha mabapi le Phethahatso ea Lichelete ho tloha qalong ea selemo sena ka la 28, ’me ea hlakisa hore e ’ngoe ea tse hlano tsa bohlokoa. mesebetsi ea lichelete mohatong o latelang ke ho thibela le ho fokotsa likotsi tsa mekoloto ea mmuso oa lehae.Mmuso o bohareng o ts'ehetsa ka mafolofolo mebuso ea libaka ho rarolla likotsi tse patiloeng tsa mekoloto, o khothaletsa mebuso ea lehae ho hokahanya mefuta eohle ea lichelete, thepa, lisebelisoa le maano a fapaneng a ts'ehetso le mehato, e shebane haholo le litoropo le litereke ho matlafatsa mosebetsi oa bona, ho rarolla ka nepo mokoloto o patiloeng o teng, ntlafatsa sebopeho sa mantsoe, fokotsa moroalo oa tsoala, 'me butle-butle fokotsa likotsi tsa likoloto.Ho phaella moo, leano la ho lemoha matlo le ho se lemohe likoloto li buletsoe, 'me ho ka' na ha e-ba le phetoho e kholo nakong e tlang, e leng ho fokotsang khatello.

Ea bobeli, tšepe ke ntho e nyenyane e khutlelang morao leqhubung lena la lihlahisoa, ho na le sebaka sa ho lokisoa.Ho shebella lethathamo la thepa ea Mandarin, e tsosolositsoeng ho tloha ho 165.72 qetellong ea May ho ea ho 189.14 ka August 30, ho khutlela ho 14.1%, konteraka ea thread 10 e tsosolositsoe ho tloha 3388 qetellong ea May ho ea ho 3717 ka 30th, rebound ea 9.7%, lihlahisoa tse seng kae le tsona li ile tsa bonahala li imena habeli 'marakeng.Haeba u sheba feela metheo ea hau, metheo ea khoele ha e mpe, 'me ho na le leano la indasteri (bokhoni ba tlhahiso, tlhahiso ea ho laola habeli), ho lokela ho ba le sebaka sa ho lokisoa.

Ntlha ea boraro, tlhokahalo ea tšepe e lebeletsoe ho nka nako ea selemo ka September.Ho tloha ho ts'ebeliso ea data ea tšepe, tlhahiso ea tšepe e sa tsoakoang ea August e ka 'na ea se ke ea oa empa ea eketseha, ho hakanngoa hore tlhahiso ea letsatsi le letsatsi kapa lithane tse ka bang limilione tse 2.95,' me mohlala oa lipalo-palo tsa mokhatlo oa tšepe o tla eketseha ka lithane tse 330,000, e leng se bontšang hore tšepe e tala. tshebediso ka August ka July e eketsehile ka hoo e ka bang 10,5% ka morao, ho ntse ho ka khoneha ho boloka hoo e ka bang 10% kgolo ea selemo le selemo, 'me tlhokahalo ha e e-s'o oele.Ka September, ha mocheso o theoha, ho tsosolosoa ka mor'a moroallo, ho potlaka ha morero, joalo-joalo, tlhokahalo e lebeletsoe ho eketseha ka nako e le 'ngoe le khoeli ka khoeli.

Ho ea ka phuputso ea kaho ea lilemo tse lekholo, tlhokahalo e tlase ea indasteri ea kaho: tlhahiso ea samente ea likhoebo tse 250 e ne e le lithane tse limilione tse 5.629, e neng e le + 5.05% (boleng bo fetileng + 1.93) le -28.3% (boleng bo fetileng -31.2).Ho ea ka pono ea libaka, ke Chaena Boroa feela e ileng ea angoa ke pula e ntseng e eketseha, e ileng ea fokotseha khoeli le khoeli, ha Chaena Leboea, Boroa-bophirimela, Leboea-bophirimela, Bohareng ba Chaena, Chaena Bochabela le Leboea-bochabela Chaena kaofela li ile tsa boela tsa eketseha.Tlhokahalo ea merero e meholo ea meralo ea motheo: phepelo e tobileng ea samente ea lithane tse limilione tse 2,17, + 4.3% ka tatellano (boleng bo fetileng + 1.5), selemo le selemo -4.8% (boleng bo fetileng -5.5).Ka lehlakoreng le leng, liketsahalo tse ling tsa libaka li haufi le ho tšoaroa, 'me merero ea meralo ea motheo e na le linako tse hlakileng;Ka lehlakoreng le leng, palo ea merero e sa tsoa qalisoa e eketsehile, 'me tlhokahalo ea thepa ea mohaho bakeng sa merero e meng e phethiloeng e khutliselitsoe morao.Tlhokahalo ea kaho ea matlo: Palo ea lipalangoang tsa konkreite ea liteishene tse kopanyang tsa 506 e ne e le lisekoere-mithara tse limilione tse 2.201, + 2.5% beke le beke (bohlokoa bo fetileng + 1.9), le -21.5% selemo le selemo (boleng bo fetileng -30.5).Ho tloha sebakeng sa pono ea libaka, ka lebaka la ho heletsoa le ho tsosolosoa ha liteishene tse ling tse kopanyang North China, palo ea sephethephethe e fokotsehile, 'me palo ea sephethephethe South China e fokotsehile ka mor'a ho eketseha ha pula, ha Chaena bohareng, Boroa-bophirimela, Linaha tse ka leboea-bochabela, leboea-bophirimela le Bochabela bo Hare lia eketseha.Melao ea nako e telele e ntle, theko e tlaase e ile ea eketseha ka libeke tse tharo.Ho tloha ka la 21 Phato ho isa ho la 27 Phato, kakaretso ea matlo a macha a khoebo metseng e meholo ea 8 e ne e le lisekoere-mithara tse 1,942,300, keketseho ea 4.7% beke le beke.Ka nako e ts'oanang, kakaretso ea thekiso ea matlo a bobeli (likonteraka) metseng e robeli ea bohlokoa e ne e le 1.319,800 square metres, e leng keketseho ea 6.4% ka beke le beke.

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Ho tloha lethathamong la morao-rao la thepa e felileng ea likhoebo tsa indasteri e lokollotsoeng ke Ofisi ea Naha ea Lipalopalo, e ile ea tsoela pele ho theoha, e oela ho 1.6% ka Phupu ha e bapisoa le nako e ts'oanang selemong se fetileng, mme thepa e theohile ka 0.2% ha e bapisoa le nako e ts'oanang selemong se fetileng. kaofela ha tsona li maemong a batlang a le tlase nalaneng.Lintlha tsa indasteri ea liindasteri li bonts'a hore lisebelisoa tsa lipalangoang tse phahameng haholo, indasteri ea mochini oa motlakase, hammoho le lethathamo le tlase la likhokahano tsa likhomphutha, lisebelisoa tse akaretsang le liindasteri tse ling li hlahile matšoao a ho tlatsa, ho bonts'a hore tlhoko ea thepa ea moaho e theohile ka nako e ts'oanang. , kholo ea tlhahiso ea tlhokahalo ea tšepe e entse ka botlalo bakeng sa lekhalo.Mokhoa ona o lebeletsoe hore o tsoele pele, mohlomong ka September, ho tla ba le tokollo e eketsehileng ea tlhokahalo ea bohareng.Ho latela mohlala oa data oa phuputso ea steel Union, ka Loetse, tšebeliso ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea thepa e tala mohahong oa tšepe, likoloi le liindasteri tse ling tsa tšepe e eketsehile ka 3.23%, 8.57% le 8.89% ka ho latellana, mme indasteri ea mochini le lisebelisoa tsa lapeng e ile ea oa. ka 4.07% le 7.35% ka ho latellana.

Ea bone, phepelo ea tšepe e tlamehile ho oa ka September.Ka lehlakoreng le leng, likhoebo tse ling li qobelleha ho fokotsa tahlehelo ea tlhahiso le ho nchafatsa, likhoebo tse ling li se li qalile ho kenya tšebetsong maano a thibelo ea tlhahiso, 'me taolo ea tikoloho e se e le thata, e leng se tla tlisa khatello tokollong ea phepelo ea likhoebo tse ling.Ka la 15 Phato, Lekala la Ecology le Tikoloho, Lekala la Tšireletso ea Sechaba le Lekala la Tšireletso ea Sechaba le Phahameng ka ho Fetisisa le ile la laola ka kopanelo linyeoe tse 11 tsa tlhahlobo ea data e ikemetseng ea tšilafalo ea tikoloho ka likarolo tsa bohlokoa tsa ho ntša litšila.Linyeoe tsena tse 11 li ile tsa fetisetsoa ke lefapha la tikoloho ea tikoloho ho makala a ts'ireletso ea sechaba bakeng sa lipatlisiso tse kopanetsoeng le ho sebetsana le tsona, tse kenyeletsang likhoebo tse ngata liprofinseng tse robong, bobeli ba likarolo tsa ts'ilafalo le likarolo tsa mekhatlo ea boraro ea ts'ebetso le tlhokomelo.Ho latela lintlha tsa tlhahlobo ea mohlala, palo e nyane ea likhoebo tsa mohlala ka September tlhahiso ea likhoele ka Phato kapa e ka bang 5% e fokotseha.

Ka lebaka la ho lieha ho kenngwa tshebetsong ha leano la ho laola tlhahiso ka liloala tsa tšepe ka mabaka a sa tšoaneng, motheong oa selemo le selemo tlhahiso ea lithane tse limilione tse 17,28 ka January ho ea ho July, bonyane limilione tse 7,5 ka August, ke hore, tšepe e tala e ile ea eketseha. ka lithane tse ka bang limilione tse 24.78 ka Pherekhong ho isa Phato.Sena se bolela hore matsatsing a 122 ho tloha ka September ho ea ho December, letsatsi le tloaelehileng le tlameha ho hlahisa lithane tse ka tlaase ho 203,000, 'me karolelano ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea tlhahiso ea tšepe e tala ho tloha ka September ho ea ho December selemong se fetileng ke lithane tse limilione tse 2.654, e leng se bolelang hore tlhahiso ea letsatsi le leng le le leng ea lihlahisoa tse tala ho tloha September ho ea ho December selemong sena e ke ke ea feta lithane tse limilione tse 2.451, e ntseng e le ho latela liphello tsa taolo e bataletseng ho bala.Sena se bolela hore karolelano ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea tšepe e tala ka selemo e tla fokotsoa ka lithane tse ka bang 500,000 ho latela maemo a hajoale.

Ka hona, ho ea ka pono e ka holimo, ho khutlisetsoa ha theko ea tšepe ha ho thata.

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Ho ea ka pono ea peterole e tala, le hoja qalong ea selemo, ke ile ka boela ka re 'maraka o kene sethaleng se secha sa ts'oaetso ea khoebo, matšoenyeho, a sa tsitsang le a sa utloisiseheng, ho phahama ha morao tjena ho tsoelang pele ha litheko tsa tšepe, le hoja re tseba tse ling tse ke keng tsa qojoa. lintlha (ho koahela maemo a makhutšoane, ho theoha ha sekhahla sa phapanyetsano ea RMB, tlhahiso ea tšepe e potlakileng, lisebelisoa tse tlase tsa ore, joalo-joalo), empa ho ntse ho le lerata le lengata la khoebo: Ka lehlakoreng le leng, karolelano ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea tšepe e qhibilihisitsoeng ea likhoebo tse 247 e ne e le ka botlalo. e rekisoa, empa e hlokomolohile taba ea hore karolelano ea letsatsi le letsatsi ea tlhahiso ea tšepe ea kolobe ea Bureau of Statistics ka July (lithane tse limilione tse 2.503) e ile ea oa ka lithane tse 63,000 ha li bapisoa le June (lithane tse limilione tse 2.566).Ka lehlakoreng le leng, ho rekisoa ka botlalo thepa e batlang e le tlaase ea tšepe ea tšepe, empa ho hlokomolohuoa likhoeli tsa pele tsa 7 tsa tšepe ea kolobe e ile ea eketseha feela ka lithane tse limilione tse 17,9, ha tšepe e kenya lithane tse fetang limilione tse 43.21 le ore ea malapeng e eketsehile ka lithane tse limilione tse 34.59 (tlo feela ba re lethathamo la naha la tšepe ha le hlile ha le theohe lethathamong le ka sehloohong, thepa ea tšepe ea tšepe e theohile ka lithane tse limilione tse 9,65);Ho phaella moo, e ile ea rekisa ka botlalo phaello e fokolang ea merafo e tsoang linaheng tse ling, empa ea hlokomoloha phaello e nyenyane e tsoelang pele esita le tahlehelo ea likhoebo tsa tlhahiso ea tšepe;Ho phaella moo, ho rekisa ka botlalo 'nete le litebello tsa lihlahisoa tsa tšepe ka nakoana li sa fokotse tlhahiso kapa esita le ho laola tlhahiso nakong e tlang, empa ho hlokomoloha ho teba le ho tšepahala ha leano la bobeli la taolo.Hona joale khatello e feteletseng ea tšepe le ho hula ka mokhoa o sa utloahaleng oa mafura a tala, ho qala ha leano la ho lulisa nako ka September, ho tloha ponong ea tlhompho bakeng sa 'maraka, ba babeli ba tla tlisa ho khutla ho utloahalang, theko ea mafura a tala. ke taba feela ea nako le morethetho, boholo, ha e le nako e telele, ha e ntse e phahama, sebaka se seholo sa ho fokotseha ha nako e tlang.

Lintlha tsa International Steel Association li bontša hore ho tloha ka January ho ea ho July, tlhahiso ea tšepe ea kolobe ea lefats'e ea lithane tse limilione tse 774, keketseho ea lithane tse limilione tse 17 ka nako e tšoanang selemong se fetileng sa lithane tse limilione tse 757, ho ea ka 1 tonne ea tšepe ea kolobe ea lithane tse 1,6 tsa tšepe ho lekanya, ho feta nako e tšoanang selemong se fetileng ho ja tšepe ea lithane tse ka bang limilione tse 27.Har'a bona, Chaena e ile ea hlahisa lithane tse limilione tse 532 tsa tšepe ea kolobe, keketseho ea lithane tse limilione tse 24 ho tloha ho lithane tse limilione tse 508 ka nako e tšoanang selemong se fetileng, 'me ea ja lithane tse limilione tse 38 tsa tšepe e eketsehileng.Tšebeliso ea tšepe e entsoeng linaheng tse ling e ile ea theoha ka lithane tse limilione tse 7 selemo le selemo, ’me tšebeliso ea tšepe e entsoeng ka tšepe e ile ea theoha ka lithane tse limilione tse 11,2.E ka bonoa ho tsoa ho data ea WSA hore tlhahiso ea tšepe ea kolobe ea Chaena e eketsehile ka 4.7% selemo le selemo, mme keketseho ea eona e ne e le 140% ea keketseho ea lefats'e, ke hore, keketseho ea tlhoko ea tšepe ea lefats'e e tsoa Chaena. .Leha ho le joalo, ho ea ka lipalo-palo tse amehang, tlhahiso ea tšepe lefatšeng ka bophara e eketsehile ka lithane tse limilione tse 63 ho tloha ka Pherekhong ho isa Phupu, 'me ho na le lithane tse limilione tse 25.Ho latela tlhaiso-leseling ea sathelaete, tlhahiso e feteletseng ea machaba ea tšepe e bokelloa haholo boemakepe ba mose ho maoatle le lethathamong la ho hoholeha ha leoatle.Karolo ea tšepe ea tšepe ea Steel Union e hakanya hore bonyane lithane tse limilione tse 15 tsa tšepe ea tšepe li ekelitsoe mose ho maoatle.

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Ho ka bonoa hore mohlala le nomoro ea sampuli li fapane, litšupiso ha li tšoane, 'me liqeto li ka fapana.Ntlha e 'ngoe ke hore ts'ebetso ea palo e nyenyane ea lisampole ka linako tse itseng e ka' na ea se ke ea lumellana le lintlha tsa mehlala eohle, ebang ke ho latela tataiso ea phetoho, haholo-holo ho latela boholo ba phetoho, e ka 'nang ea etsa lerata hangata. transaction, 'me sena hangata ke leeto.Ntle le ho fihla pheletsong.

Ka bokhutšoane, 'maraka oa tšepe ka Loetse, molemong oa kenyelletso e tsoelang pele ea maano a fapaneng le ho kengoa ts'ebetsong ha matsapa, litheko tsa tšepe li lebelletsoe ho tlisa phallo ea 'nete ka mor'a ho theoha khafetsa ho elella bofelong ba Phato.Hape, ho kgothaletswa hore lihlahisoa tsa tšepe li lokela ho kenya ts'ebetsong taolo ea phokotso ea tlhahiso, ho fokotsa tlhahiso ea pele le melemo ea pele, bahoebi le li-terminals ba tsoele pele ho notlela ka mafolofolo mehloling e meng e theko e tlaase, ka mafolofolo sebelisa bokamoso kapa khetho ea sesebelisoa arbitrage, kopana le tlaase. boleng ba lisebelisoa tse ngata tsa pele, 'me u fihlelle boleng bo phahameng ba mafura a mantlha, kapa u kenye fensetere e betere ea nako.


Nako ea poso: Sep-02-2023